Weekly Business Update – 19th January 2024

Welcome to our Weekly Digest – stay in the know with some recent news updates relevant to business and the economy.

Grab Low Fixed Mortgage Rates: Is it Time to Secure Yours?

 Canadian mortgage rates decline, creating golden homebuying opportunity.The recent decrease in rates on various fixed mortgages in Canada has been quite significant, with a remarkable drop of a full percentage point observed in just the past few months. This sudden decline is undoubtedly creating a lucrative opportunity for many Canadians who have been eagerly anticipating the upcoming spring housing market or are currently in possession of a mortgage that is due for renewal.

For those individuals who have been patiently waiting to make their move in the real estate market, this favorable shift in mortgage rates is nothing short of a golden opportunity. The reduced rates mean that potential homebuyers can now secure a mortgage at a much lower cost, resulting in substantial savings over the course of their loan. This could potentially translate into a higher budget for purchasing their dream home or even allow them to explore more desirable neighborhoods that were previously out of reach.

Existing homeowners who are approaching the end of their mortgage term can also benefit immensely from this downward trend in rates. As their mortgage comes up for renewal, they now have the possibility of securing a new loan at significantly reduced interest rates, thereby reducing their monthly mortgage payments and overall financial burden. This extra breathing room could enable them to allocate funds towards other important aspects of their lives, such as education, investments, or simply enjoying a higher quality of life.

However, it is important for Canadians to approach this opportunity with caution and diligently consider their individual financial circumstances before making any decisions. While the lowered rates may seem enticing, it is crucial to assess whether refinancing or obtaining a new mortgage aligns with their long-term financial goals and stability. Consulting with a trusted mortgage advisor or financial professional can provide invaluable guidance in navigating this exciting yet complex landscape.

Canada’s Vulnerability to Global Trade Conflicts: Expert Warns of Potential Impact

Canada faces trade challenges amid global conflicts and uncertaintiesAccording to a trade expert, Canada is expected to face significant challenges in its trading activities this year, as it navigates through turbulent waters caused by conflicts unfolding across the globe. These conflicts have the potential to impact various aspects of Canada’s trade, including its export and import activities, international relations, and overall economic stability. The trade expert highlights that Canada’s trading landscape will be characterized by uncertainty and instability, much like rough seas. The nation will have to confront various geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and protectionist measures imposed by different countries.

These conflicts can lead to sudden disruptions in established trade relationships, hinder the smooth flow of goods and services, and create an unfavorable environment for Canadian businesses. The expert emphasizes that Canada’s trade diversification efforts may face setbacks due to the ongoing conflicts. The nation has been actively seeking to expand its trade partnerships beyond traditional markets and explore emerging economies. However, the turbulent global environment can make it more challenging for Canada to establish new trade alliances or strengthen existing ones.

It may also face difficulties in accessing certain markets due to trade barriers or political disputes. In addition to the direct impact on trade, conflicts worldwide can indirectly affect Canada’s economy through their influence on global commodity prices, exchange rates, and investor sentiment. Fluctuating prices and exchange rates can have implications for Canada’s resource-based industries, such as energy and mining, as well as its agricultural sector. Furthermore, the uncertainty created by conflicts can make investors hesitant, potentially reducing foreign direct investment and hindering economic growth.

Despite these challenges, the trade expert also acknowledges that Canada possesses certain strengths that can help it weather the storm. The nation’s strong rule of law, stable political environment, and well-established trade institutions provide a solid foundation for navigating through turbulent times. Furthermore, Canada’s reputation as a reliable trading partner and its commitment to multilateral cooperation can contribute to maintaining open trade channels and resolving conflicts through diplomatic means.

Optimism Soars as Bank of Canada Considers Rate Cuts: Canadians’ Economic Sentiment Surges

Canadians optimistic as economic growth fuels national confidence surge.

The latest results of an ongoing survey tracking households’ views indicate that Canadians are currently experiencing a significant surge of optimism regarding both the national economy and their personal financial prospects. This newfound wave of positivity has engulfed the nation, permeating the minds of individuals across the country who are now more hopeful and confident about the future. Canadians, buoyed by recent developments and positive economic indicators, are increasingly optimistic about the state of the national economy.

This optimism stems from the continuous growth and stability witnessed in various sectors, including job creation, stock market performance, and overall economic expansion. This positive outlook is further reinforced by the government’s commitment to implementing strategic policies aimed at fostering sustainable economic growth and improving the overall financial well-being of its citizens. Canadians are also experiencing a surge in confidence regarding their personal financial prospects. This newfound optimism arises from a multitude of factors, such as increasing employment opportunities, rising wages, and favorable interest rates.

As individuals witness their own financial situations improving, they feel empowered to plan for the future, make investments, and achieve their long-term financial goals. The positive sentiment resonating among Canadians is not only limited to economic factors but also reflects a broader sense of optimism about the overall quality of life in the country. Canadians are proud of their diverse and inclusive society, robust healthcare system, and high living standards.

These factors, coupled with the positive economic outlook, contribute to an overall sense of well-being and confidence in the future. It is important to note that while Canadians are currently riding this wave of optimism, challenges and uncertainties persist. The ongoing global pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and potential economic fluctuations can still pose risks to the nation’s economic stability. Therefore, it is crucial for Canadians to maintain a balanced perspective and continue to adapt and innovate to ensure long-term prosperity.

Inflation Inches Up in December: Experts Predict Slowing Trend Ahead

Economists predict manageable inflation increase, emphasizing underlying price pressures.

Economists are predicting that Canada’s inflation rate likely experienced a slight increase in the previous month. However, this development is not anticipated to cause any significant concerns as long as the fundamental price pressures alleviate. The forecasted rise in Canada’s inflation rate implies a potential uptick in the overall cost of goods and services. Nevertheless, experts remain relatively optimistic due to the expectation that underlying price pressures will alleviate.

This suggests that any temporary surge in inflation will likely be transitory and not indicative of a sustained upward trend. While an increase in inflation may typically raise alarm bells, the situation in Canada appears to be different. The potential rise in inflation is expected to be moderate and manageable, which should not pose a significant threat to the economy.

The underlying price pressures are anticipated to ease, indicating that any inflationary effects will likely be short-lived. Factors such as supply chain disruptions, increased demand, or temporary imbalances in certain sectors might have contributed to the temporary inflationary pressures. However, these factors are expected to normalize over time, leading to a more stable economic environment.

Economists are cautiously monitoring the inflation rate in Canada, acknowledging the potential increase but emphasizing the importance of considering the underlying price pressures. As long as these pressures subside, there is no immediate cause for concern, and the economy is expected to remain resilient in the face of potential inflationary fluctuations.

Deloitte’s Outlook: Rate Cuts and Economic Revival on Canada’s Horizon

Deloitte Canada predicts economic growth, fueled by anticipated interest cuts.Deloitte Canada’s latest economic forecast paints an optimistic picture for the nation, predicting a return to growth in the latter half of 2024. This positive outlook is reinforced by expectations of interest rate cuts as early as this spring, which are anticipated to breathe life into Canada’s economy following a turbulent period marked by global factors like the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

The forecast underscores the resilience of the Canadian economy and its potential for a strong recovery. Deloitte Canada’s experts anticipate a range of measures and policies that will contribute to this resurgence, with interest rate cuts playing a pivotal role in stimulating economic activity and fostering a favorable investment climate.

The Canadian government’s plan to implement interest rate cuts in the coming spring aims to boost borrowing and spending, bolster consumer confidence, and encourage business expansion. This strategic move is expected to drive economic growth across various sectors, including manufacturing, services, and construction.

Deloitte Canada’s forecast emphasizes the importance of these interest rate cuts as a catalyst for economic recovery. Lower interest rates are set to reduce borrowing costs for businesses and individuals, incentivizing investment and spending, ultimately leading to increased employment opportunities and higher consumer spending power. However, the forecast also acknowledges potential risks, including new COVID-19 waves, global tensions, and commodity price fluctuations, which may challenge the anticipated economic trajectory. Policymakers and businesses must remain adaptive and vigilant to ensure a steady and sustainable economic rebound.

Canadian Firms Face ESG Implementation Challenges Amid Growing Reporting Demands

Canadian companies grapple with ESG reporting challenges under CSRD.A recent Wall Street Journal study has revealed the substantial impact of the new Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) on over 1000 Canadian companies. The CSRD has introduced stringent environmental, social, and governance (ESG) reporting requirements, compelling both Canadian and non-European Union (EU) companies to disclose their ESG practices.

A survey of 332 high-ranking decision-makers in medium to large Canadian businesses found that a significant 74 percent of these companies are struggling with the implementation of ESG mandates. This highlights the considerable challenges organizations face in aligning their operations with these new reporting requirements.

The CSRD aims to enhance transparency and accountability in corporate sustainability practices by mandating ESG reporting. It seeks to provide stakeholders, including investors, customers, and regulators, with comprehensive insights into a company’s environmental impact, social responsibility, and governance practices.

This research underscores the pressing need for Canadian companies to adapt to the evolving landscape of sustainable business practices. As environmental concerns, social issues, and ethical governance become increasingly important to stakeholders, organizations must proactively address these aspects to enhance their competitiveness and long-term sustainability.

Canada’s Productivity Slump: The Looming Economic Concern

Canada faces challenges with declining labor productivity affecting economy."Labour productivity, a crucial indicator of the overall efficiency and output of a country’s economy, has experienced a concerning downward trend in Canada, as stated by Statistics Canada in their recent report. This decline, persisting for six consecutive quarters, highlights a significant challenge for the nation’s economic growth and poses a particular cause for alarm for the Bank of Canada. Labour productivity serves as a comprehensive measure, reflecting the real gross domestic product generated per hour worked across various sectors and industries.

Its decline indicates a decrease in the efficiency and effectiveness of the Canadian workforce, ultimately impacting the nation’s economic performance and prosperity. The consequences of diminishing labour productivity are far-reaching, extending beyond mere economic implications. This metric bears immense importance in enhancing the quality of life for Canadians, as it directly affects income levels, living standards, and overall societal well-being. A decline in labour productivity can dampen wage growth, hinder advancements in technology and innovation, and limit opportunities for economic expansion and social progress.

Given its pivotal role, the recent consecutive quarters of declining labour productivity have raised concerns among economists and policymakers. The Bank of Canada, in particular, is closely monitoring this worrisome trend, recognizing its potential to impede the country’s economic resilience and stability. As the central bank responsible for managing monetary policy, the Bank of Canada relies on labour productivity as a key factor in determining interest rates, inflation expectations, and overall economic outlook. The implications of persistently declining labour productivity are multifaceted and demand urgent attention from stakeholders across the nation.

Policymakers, businesses, and industry leaders must collaborate to identify the underlying causes behind this concerning trend and devise effective strategies to reverse it. This may involve investing in education and skills development, promoting innovation and technology adoption, and fostering a business-friendly environment that encourages productivity growth. Addressing the decline in labour productivity is not only crucial for economic prosperity but also for safeguarding the well-being and future of the Canadian population. By reversing this trend and reinvigorating productivity growth, Canada can ensure a higher standard of living, increased competitiveness on the global stage, and sustainable long-term economic success.

Canadian Small Businesses Worried About Soaring Costs: Report

Canadian SMBs face challenges as rising costs impact operations.As 2023 has concluded, the impact of the preceding year’s inflation surge still looms large for Canadian small- and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) as they embark on 2024. A recent report reveals that an overwhelming 82 percent of Canadian employers are deeply concerned about the relentless increase in costs, making it their top priority. The aftermath of the inflationary wave has left an enduring mark on SMBs, challenging their operations.

As the new year begins, these businesses must grapple with the consequences of rising prices, which have eroded their profitability, sustainability, and overall viability. The report highlights that the majority of Canadian employers are navigating a landscape increasingly burdened by mounting costs. This alarming statistic underscores the severity of the situation, as businesses of all sizes confront the harsh realities of persistent inflation.

The upward trajectory of costs necessitates SMBs to reassess their strategies, scrutinize expenditures, and seek innovative ways to cushion the impact on their financial health. To navigate these challenging waters, companies must employ robust financial management, resourceful decision-making, and an unwavering commitment to efficiency and cost-effectiveness. The mounting concerns about escalating costs encompass a range of factors that directly affect SMB operations and sustainability. Spiraling prices for raw materials, energy, and labor have created a complex web of challenges, compelling businesses to find solutions to weather this storm.

The report serves as a call to action, urging employers to take proactive measures to protect their businesses from the debilitating effects of rising costs. In response to this pressing issue, SMBs are likely to explore various strategies to alleviate the burden of increased expenses. These strategies may involve seeking alternative suppliers, renegotiating contracts, implementing cost-cutting measures, or even passing on some of the increased costs to consumers. The path ahead is undoubtedly challenging, but with resilience, adaptability, and a strategic mindset, businesses can navigate these turbulent economic waters and emerge stronger on the other side.

Canadian Business Aviation: A Powerhouse Generating $11.7 Billion in Direct Economic Impact

Canadian business aviation faces luxury tax, emphasizes economic contributions.Canada’s business aviation community faces a dual challenge as it grapples with a new luxury tax on aircraft and intensifies efforts to enhance sustainability. Despite these hurdles, the industry’s primary advocacy group remains committed to highlighting its significant contributions to the national economy.

The introduction of a luxury tax on aircraft has added a fresh financial burden for Canadian business aviation. However, the industry is determined to maintain its crucial role in Canada’s economic landscape.

In addition to addressing the implications of the luxury tax, the business aviation community is actively working to bolster its sustainability initiatives. Leaders in the sector are embracing eco-friendly practices, investing in research and development to reduce emissions, and exploring alternative fuels to align with global environmental goals.

Amid these challenges and sustainability endeavors, the industry’s advocacy group is resolute in emphasizing the substantial economic contributions made by business aviation. It serves as a vital driver of economic growth, facilitating trade, investment, and job creation. Moreover, it supports related industries, such as tourism and manufacturing, by providing essential transportation for professionals. Recognizing its immense value, the advocacy group seeks to promote an environment that supports the growth, sustainability, and ongoing success of the business aviation sector.

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